On the other hand, Ortiz is reaching a bit seeking a 32-percent bump.
In the past, arbitration panels have appeared to put more stock in traditional statistics such as batting average, home runs and RBIs. That would seem to favor Ortiz. What could work against him is that there are virtually no comparable players of his age and ability who have gone through the arbitration process.
My guess is that the sides settle somewhere in the middle. The last thing the Red Sox want to do is get in a hearing room with Ortiz and make a presentation why they don't want to pay him as much as he wants.
For all his outward mirth and merriment, Ortiz is sensitive when it comes to financial issues. Going to a hearing could cause issues the Red Sox do not need going into spring training.
UPDATE, 9:08 p.m.: Here are the arbitration numbers for the other unsigned Red Sox:
Alfredo Aceves is seeking $1.6 million with the Red Sox offering $900,000. Daniel Bard asked for $1.825 million with the Red Sox proposing $1.4 million. Andrew Bailey is seeking $4.7 million with the Red Sox offering $3.35 million.
Sean McAdam of Comcast had those figures first.