Poll finds deepening economic pessimism

Faith in the future is very weak among Mass. residents as they remain wary about stocks and home values

December 04, 2011|By Megan Woolhouse, Globe Staff

Despite improvements in the economy, Massachusetts residents hold deeply pessimistic views about the future, including a stark lack of confidence in real estate and stock markets, two traditional paths to financial security, according to a new Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll.

The survey found more than a continued bleak outlook; it found a disheartened population that says it is saving less, giving less to charity, and planning to work longer, generally for one reason: lack of money.

The real estate and stock markets offer little hope, they said. Nearly two out of three surveyed say they are unsure about stocks or currently consider them a bad investment. More than half think housing prices will remain stagnant or continue to drop in the year ahead.

“Things have been really bad but it’s reached another level now - people have lost hope,’’ said David Paleologos, director of Suffolk’s Political Research Center, which conducted the poll. “The American dream of owning a home and owning stocks are the pillars that have held up hope throughout our history. This is signaling to us that those pillars are shaking.’’

The poll of 400 Massachusetts residents was conducted early last week, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

Remarkably, optimism was easier to find in the same poll taken two years ago, when the nation was still reeling from the worst economic slowdown since the Great Depression. Most believed then that the recession would end in late 2009.

Two years later, three-fourths of those surveyed said the recession in Massachusetts has yet to end and half said they expected it to last at least two more years.

The recession technically ended in June 2009, and since then, unemployment has ticked downward both nationally and in Massachusetts. (The state’s unemployment rate was 7.1 percent in October and the US rate fell to 8.6 percent for November.) In the last year, hiring, manufacturing and consumer confidence have all shown modest improvements.

Yet among those polled, gloom prevails, a sign that many have not shared in these gains or don’t believe they will last. One in five respondents said someone in their household had lost a job within the last 18 months, and of those who did, 36 percent said the person had been unemployed for a year or more.

Jeffrey Bolger, a Halifax resident, said too many manufacturing companies have moved their operations outside the United States, eliminating good jobs, leaving a new generation of workers in positions that pay less or offer few benefits. He said his adult son, for example, has a college degree and a job, but remains on Bolger’s health insurance plan.

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