Column: Occupy the BCS! Could this be the season?

October 25, 2011|Jim Litke, AP Sports Columnist

Stanford coach David Shaw waves to fans as he holds his one-year-old son,… (AP Photo/Paul Sakuma )

Shenanigans are nothing new with the Bowl Championships Series.

It’s the reason the cartel was created in the first place, to make sure the stars align in the postseason exactly the way the major conference commissioners and their pals at the big bowl committees and TV networks desire. Or at the very least, as analyst Bill James put it a short while ago, “to create some gobbledygook math to endorse’’ their version of that universe. Either way, there’s more than the usual reasons for optimism this could be the season that brings the BCS house of cards crashing down.

It’s only week 2 of the BCS poll, but there are already signs the computers are overheating. There’s no arguing with the teams on the top two lines, No. 1 LSU and No. 2 Alabama. All three human polls — the USA Today coaches and Harris Interactive, which each account for one-third of the BCS formula, as well as The Associated Press poll — have them ordered the same way. Then the fun begins.

The computers, the final third of the BCS formula, aren’t impressed by the Pac-12 or Big Ten so far, even though the humans are. Both the Harris and AP polls have Stanford at No. 3, while the coaches have the Cardinal at No. 4. But Stanford checks in at No. 6 in this week’s BCS rankings because the computers have the Cardinal at No. 9, making some people wonder whether the machines, too, have a tough time staying up late to catch games on the West Coast. The real answer is simpler, and for those who want a playoff ASAP, hopeful.

There are eight undefeated teams in the Top 25 at the moment, 10 more with just one loss, and just eight weeks’ worth of data for the computers to sort them out. Strength of schedule, to cite just one component, isn’t nearly as a reliable an indicator as it will be later in the year. And, because of a ruckus at the end of the 2001 season that left a deserving Oregon team out of the national championship game, the BCS told computer operators the next year to drop margin of victory as a component to determine their rankings. Small wonder then that Stanford has gotten short shrift from the machines.