With risk of debt default allayed, money funds remain safe bet

MUTUAL FUNDS

August 07, 2011|By Mark Jewell, Associated Press
  • With Fridays volatile trading session, investors are expected to keep buying mutual funds as a shelter from market declines.
With Fridays volatile trading session, investors are expected to keep… (Lucas Jackson/REUTERS )

Money market mutual funds have passed their first big test since the 2008 financial crisis.

Risks of a US debt default sent investors fleeing the low-risk cash investments in recent weeks, stirring up memories of a money fund’s collapse triggered by the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers.

This time, money funds’ perceived weaknesses were their huge investments in Treasury bonds, and fears that the government might not make good on those IOUs.

As talks to lift the nation’s debt ceiling stumbled, investors withdrew a net $122 billion from money funds in the seven-day period ended Monday, according to industry researcher Crane Data. That exodus trimmed almost 5 percent of the $2.6 trillion that the funds hold

It was comparable to the rush out of money funds in September 2008 when one of the largest funds collapsed, leaving investors temporarily unable to access cash and facing small losses on their investments. The debacle marred a near-perfect safety record for money market funds in terms of protecting investors from losses.

There haven’t been any indications that any funds have run into such troubles this time around, with no investment losses or frozen cash.

The outlook brightened when President Obama signed the debt deal into law Tuesday, and Uncle Sam avoided the risk of default. Investors promptly reversed course, depositing a net $6 billion into money funds that day.

It’s expected that investors will continue to seek shelter from the stock market declines driven by recent disappointing economic news, and pour their cash into money funds.

“They have definitely dodged the bigger crisis,’’ says Peter Rizzo, a credit analyst who rates money funds for Standard & Poor’s. “Had the government gone into default, there’s a domino effect that could have occurred.’’

Similar concerns were echoed by Fitch Ratings, which warned last month that a government default could send investors rushing to the exits again.

In turn, that could have forced money fund managers to sell holdings at discounted prices so they could return cash to their investors on demand. Fitch noted that US money market funds hold about $1.3 trillion in government-backed debt, about half of all money fund assets.

Those investments may still leave money funds vulnerable to a potential downgrade of US debt.

If investors react rationally to a downgrade, there should not be a shock to money funds, Rizzo says.

Here are a few basics about money funds, and reasons why investors face low risks in case of a downgrade:

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