IF MOTHER Nature cooperates, this morning one woman and three men will walk the steps up the launch tower at Florida’s Kennedy Space Center, board the space shuttle Atlantis, and take off on the last flight of the space shuttle program. After 30 years, 135 launches, two disasters, and vast quantities of money, the shuttle program is finally being scrapped. The United States will no longer have the capability to send astronauts into space.
For all the heartfelt sentiment accompanying the end of the program, the sad reality is the space shuttle’s demise was long overdue. Its goal of providing inexpensive, fast, and reliable access to space for government and commercial cargoes never materialized. Shuttle maintenance and refurbishment were too expensive, the delays between flights too long, and the simplicity of a single reusable spacecraft was belied by the need for a new external fuel tank for each flight. The total cost of the program, estimated at about $200 billion, worked out to well over $1 billion per mission. The value of scientific research from experiments on the flight was debatable. And then, of course, there were the tragedies of Challenger and Columbia.
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