The poor economy is largely to blame, with corporate profits down and unemployment up. But so is a tax code that grows each year with new deductions, credits, and exemptions. The result is that families making as much as $50,000 can avoid paying federal income taxes, if they have at least two dependent children. Low-income families can actually make a profit from the income tax, and the wealthy can significantly cut their payments.
“The current state of the tax code is simply indefensible,’’ said Senator Kent Conrad, Democrat of North Dakota, chairman of the Senate Budget Committee. “It is hemorrhaging revenue.’’
In the next few years, many can expect to pay more in taxes. Some increases were enacted as part of President Obama’s health care overhaul. And many states have raised taxes because — unlike the federal government — they have to balance their budgets each year.
But in the third year of Obama’s presidency, federal taxes are at historic lows. Tax receipts dropped sharply in 2009 as the economy sank into recession. They have since stabilized and are expected to grow by 3 percent this year. But federal tax revenues won’t rebound to prerecession levels until next year, according to Budget Office projections.
In the current budget year, federal tax receipts will be equal to 14.8 percent of the gross domestic product the lowest level since Harry Truman was president. In Bush’s last year in office, tax receipts were 17.5 percent of GDP, just below their 40-year average.
The lack of revenue, combined with big increases in spending, means the federal government will have to borrow 40 cents for every dollar it spends this year. The annual federal budget deficit is projected to reach a record $1.5 trillion.
Lawmakers from both political parties vow to tackle the nation’s financial problems. Republicans in Congress promise big spending cuts, and Obama says he wants to reshape corporate taxes, closing loopholes to pay for lower overall rates. Few in Washington, however, are calling for big tax increases, at least in the short term.