Rice has never been a certified Cooperstown lock. That's why he's fallen short. It's not because he was uncooperative with the scribes. It's because his window of greatness was a tad short, he failed to hit 400 homers, his numbers are inflated by playing half his games in Fenway, he was a corner outfielder with little speed or range, and he didn't do much in his few postseason opportunities.
But he belongs in the Hall. He could hit for average and he could hit for power and he finished in the top five in MVP voting six times. Twenty other players have gathered between 70 and 75 percent of the vote and every one of them ultimately made it to Cooperstown. Now it's Rice's turn. Just in time.
Rich Gossage was the only player elected by the writers last winter when Rice finished a strong, tantalizing second. In other years, Rice's vote total fell backward because of big names coming onto the ballot - names such as Cal Ripken Jr. and Tony Gwynn (elected in 2007) or George Brett, Nolan Ryan, and Robin Yount (1999).
Not this year. The only new big name on the ballot is Rickey Henderson, who is certain to be elected (we can't wait for Rickey's speech at the induction ceremony). Voters are going to vote for Rickey, then look at the ballot and check the box next to the name of Rice. They'll see how close he was last year. They'll note that this is his last year on the ballot. They'll concede that he was the most dominant slugger of his era. And they'll remember that he was steroid-free. Rice hit 46 homers in a season when it meant something.
Writers must submit ballots before the end of this month and the results will be announced Jan. 12. Too bad about the timing. Rice is scheduled to receive the prestigious Emil Fuchs Award at the annual Boston Baseball Writers bash, which will be held Jan. 8 - four days before Rice gets the call from Cooperstown. It would be nice if Rice knew the results when he's honored in Boston, but no one ever knows the Hall voting until the day the players get the call.